Forecasts the evolution of retail rates, the value of the Canadian dollar, investment fund returns and stock market trends.
- The Bank of Canada Surprises with Another Rate Hike
(PDF, 435 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- June 15, 2023
- An End in Sight for Interest Rate Hikes in 2023 (PDF, 1.82 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 20, 2022 - Early Signs That Rate Hikes Are Moderating, but the Fight against Inflation
Isn't Over (PDF, 1.82 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- November 15, 2022 - Economic Growth and Asset Class Returns Hurt by Rate Hikes
(PDF, 1.88 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- September 27, 2022 - How High Will the Bank of Canada’s Policy Rate Go? (PDF, 1.91 MB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- July 6, 2022 - Picking Up the Pace of Interest Rate Hikes to Curb Inflation (PDF, 439 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- April 27, 2022 - 2022 Will Be the Year of Rate Hikes (PDF, 443 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- February 8, 2022
- Bond Yields on the Rise Once Again after a Pause (PDF, 440 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- October 7, 2021 - Strong Inflation Should Lead to Higher Interest Rates (PDF, 422 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- June 14, 2021 - Retail Rates Start an Upward Trend (PDF, 420 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- April 14, 2021 - Retail Rates Could Stay Low Despite Higher Bond Yields (PDF, 444 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- February 11, 2021
- Little Interest Rate Movement Expected (PDF, 431 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 2 2020 - Retail Rates at All-Time Lows (PDF, 436 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- October 6 2020 - Low Interest Rates Are Here to Stay for a Long Time (PDF, 455 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- June 9 2020 - Central Banks and Governments Are Taking Unprecedented Actions to Support an Economy on Hold (PDF, 527 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- April 16, 2020 - New Downside Pressures on Bond Yields (PDF, 425 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- February 5, 2020
- Will the Renewed Optimism Last? (PDF, 445 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- November 7, 2019 - International Uncertainty Pushed Interest Rates Even Lower (PDF, 431 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- September 19, 2019 - Interest Rates Are Expected to Stay Very Low (PDF, 446 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- June 17, 2019 - Stock Markets Reach New Peaks (PDF, 1.94 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- May 7, 2019 - Interest Rates Will Remain Very Low in 2019 (PDF, 1.92 MB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- March 27, 2019 - Interest Rate Hikes Are on Hold (PDF, 1.94 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- February 12, 2019
- Interest Rate Normalization Could Take a Break (PDF, 1.92 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 11, 2018 - The Bank of Canada's Optimism Signals Slightly Faster Rate Hikes (PDF, 1.92 MB) - This link will
open in a new window.
- October 29, 2018 - Interest Rates Continue to Climb (PDF, 1.92 MB) - This link will open in a new window.
- September 13, 2018 - Despite the Uncertainty, Monetary Tightening Is Expected to Continue (PDF, 1.91 MB) - This link will open in
a new window.
- June 12, 2018 - The Favourable Economic Outlook Points to Further Interest Rate Hikes (PDF, 1.86 MB) - This link will open in
a new window.
- April 25, 2018 - Interest Rate Hikes Should Remain Gradual (PDF, 1972 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- March 14, 2018 - Canadian Interest Rates Start Rising Again (PDF, 1965 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- January 23rd, 2018
- Rates Will Continue to Go Up in 2018 (PDF, 1966 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 12, 2017 - The Economy and the Bank of Canada Catch Their Breath (PDF, 1961 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- November 2, 2017 - Canadian Rate Hikes Begin Quite Suddenly (PDF, 1946 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- September 14, 2017 - Canadian Key Rates May Rise Shortly (PDF, 1940 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- June 15, 2017 - Investor Worries Keep Interest Rates Low (PDF, 489 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- April 19, 2017 - Heading for another U.S. key rate hike (PDF, 488 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- March 7, 2017 - The start of Donald Trump's mandate should set the tone for 2017 (PDF, 472 KB) - This link will
open in a new window.
- January 12, 2017
- Higher interest rates after Donald Trump's election (PDF, 323 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- November 24, 2016 - Bond yields should soon begin a slow ascent, but retail rates could remain stable (PDF, 569 KB) - This link
will open in a new window.
- October 6, 2016 - An eventful summer, but good for investors (PDF, 366 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- August 16, 2016 - Weak job creation pushes U.S. key rate increases back (PDF, 326 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- June 14, 2016 - A start to the year that beats expectations in Canada (PDF, 359 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- May 9, 2016 - Optimism is on the upswing after an anxious start to the year (PDF, 335 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- March 17, 2016 - The difficult start to the year confirms that rates will remain very low (PDF, 359 KB) - This link will open
in a new window.
- February 9, 2016
- The Bank of Canada will not imitate the Federal Reserve anytime soon (PDF, 349 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- December 22, 2015 - Renewed optimism despite looming U.S. monetary firming (PDF, 346 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- November 12, 2015 - China puts investors on edge and causes the Federal Reserve to hesitate (PDF, 462 KB) - This link will
open in a new window.
- September 22, 2015 - Recession concerns and a key rate cut in Canada (PDF, 423 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- August 4, 2015 - The start of the year was even more challenging than initially thought in North America (PDF, 416 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- June 12, 2015 - The oil price outlook remains uncertain (PDF, 420 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- April 23, 2015 - Markets remain volatile (PDF, 442 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- March 12, 2015 - The surprise key rate cut takes retail rates down (PDF, 415 KB) - This link will open in a new
window.
- February 5, 2015
- The year is ending on a better note for the economy than the financial markets (PDF,
415 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 18, 2014 - The period of stability for retail rates should continue (PDF, 400 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- November 13, 2014 - Accelerating economic growth points to interest rate increases (PDF, 407 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- September 23, 2014 - The winds are starting to shift (PDF, 427 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- August 6, 2014 - Interest rates will stay relatively low (PDF, 422 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- June 12, 2014 - A spring rebound for the U.S. economy (PDF, 420 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- May 8, 2014 - A winter that is more favourable to borrowers than to economic activity (PDF, 428 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- March 18, 2014 - Another break for borrowers (PDF, 417 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- February 4, 2014
- A better economic environment in 2014 (PDF, 435 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- December 19, 2013 - Less upside pressure on retail rates (PDF, 435 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- November 5, 2013 - The rise in interest rates should pause soon (PDF,
456 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- September 18, 2013 - Growth seems poised to pick up in industrialized nations (PDF, 439 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- August 7, 2013 - Interest rates should climb gradually (PDF,
116 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- June 20, 2013 - The changing of the guard at the Bank of Canada shouldn't affect interest rates much (PDF, 162 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- May 9, 2013 - The difficulties of the Canadian economy confirm that interest rates will remain low (PDF, 153 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- March 26, 2013 - An encouraging start to the year, but not all has been settled (PDF, 174 KB) - This link will open in a new window.
- February 6, 2013